Over
the past several years, many investors have realized that they
invested in mutual funds that were "riskier" than what
they originally perceived. This tendency is partly due to the
marketing efforts of financial institutions in advertising investment
performances that are obviously favourable. We can easily be disappointed
if we forget that the past performance of an investment is not
a guarantee of its future performance.
There are two main approaches to making successful investments.
The first is quick return and therefore implies high risk. Payoffs
must be significant in order to offset the potential for significant
losses.
The second approach is a long-term view coupled with appropriate
investor expectations. Not everyone is comfortable with the double-digit
losses some funds have had in recent years. The problem is they
only saw the double-digit gains, and hastily began to form return
expectations based on these. Few people factored normal market
fluctuations into their expectations and were upset when stock
markets lost value. Accepting short-term market fluctuations and
maintaining a long-term approach should help to produce better
average returns over time.
The first step to successful investing is to establish goals
with realistic timeframes. Since goals can vary so much, making
RRSP contributions for your retirement in 30 years will likely
have very different investment objectives from your saving towards
a house purchase in two years time. In the latter example, you
must question your ability to accept any capital losses if the
time to reach the goal is less than five years. Everyone can handle
the "ups", but as you get closer to your goal, each
"down" pushes the goal further away. The major North
American Stock Markets have averaged a yearly growth of between
10 and 14 percent over a 50-year period. There are short periods
(five years or less) where they have declined 30 percent or more.
After goals and timeframes are established, you must develop
realistic expectations. For example, do not expect a 20% return
in one year unless you are willing to accept a possible 20% loss
during the same period. If not, then accept that a conservative
one-year investment may not get you more than a three to five
percent return.
The
setting of expectations is best done with the assistance of a
qualified financial planner. A planner should provide you with
advice based on intimate knowledge of your financial situation,
investment products, and markets in general. A financial planner
will help you eliminate investment products that do not match
you or your goals and thereby provide you with valuable advice
over the long term.
Written by: Leslie W. Davidson, B.Econ, B.Comm, CIM, FCSI,
CFP
Financial Planner/Branch Manager
SISIP Financial Services, Gagetown